Publication day!

For those of us who aren’t J.K. Rowling, publication day is a bit of a soft concept. None of this opening bookstores at midnight. I thought about releasing it when the markets close, but that was just impossible to engineer and maybe a bit pointless!

Still, it’s always a good day for the hard-working author, and right about now copies of “Crude Forecasts: Predictions, Pundits and Profits in the Commodity Casino” are available on Amazon (US) (UK) and all other online book stores.

Many of my loyal readers on Materials Risk or following me on Twitter will know that I’ve been busy working away on something important. You can read more about my new book here, but in short it tells the story of how commodity forecasts, often driven by powerful narratives have shaped our history, and not always for the best.

My book will show you that forecasters are typically terrible at forecasting prices, even over just 6 months and the reasons (both internal and external) for why that is the case. Ultimately, I hope this book will help you make better investment decisions in commodity markets.

I really enjoyed writing this book and I hope you really enjoy reading it too. Thanks!

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